Check historical price trends and seasonality for Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI).
Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +11.20%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 4 for 60 days) is -0.32%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) exhibits a strong upward tendency throughout the year, with a particularly bullish phase in the late fall and December. The index generally rises steadily from early January, experiencing a significant surge from November through December. This bullish trend culminates around December 13, reaching an average gain of +11.6%, and remains elevated, ending the year on December 31 with an average gain of +11.1%. However, there is a notable bearish phase in March, specifically around March 23, where the index tends to decline by -2.5%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period for the Dow Jones Industrial Average appears to be in March. The index experiences a notable dip around March 23, declining by an average of -2.5%. This pullback could be attributed to various factors, including profit-taking after the early year gains or concerns about economic data. Following this dip, the index tends to recover gradually through April and May, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors looking to capitalize on the seasonal weakness.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality data, a strategic approach to investing in the Dow Jones Industrial Average could involve taking advantage of the weakness in March. Specifically, consider establishing or increasing positions around March 23, anticipating a subsequent recovery and upward trend throughout the remainder of the year. The data suggests a strong tendency for gains, particularly in the late fall and December, making this a potentially favorable period for holding or increasing exposure to the index.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-04 | 42,520.9883 | 2025-05-02 | 41,317.4297 | -1,203.5586 | -2.83 |
| 2024 | 2024-03-04 | 38,989.8281 | 2024-05-02 | 38,225.6602 | -764.1679 | -1.96 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-04 | 33,614.8008 | 2022-05-02 | 33,061.5000 | -553.3008 | -1.65 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-04 | 30,924.1406 | 2021-05-02 | 33,874.8516 | 2,950.7110 | 9.54 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-04 | 27,090.8594 | 2020-05-02 | 23,723.6895 | -3,367.1699 | -12.43 |
| 2019 | 2019-03-04 | 25,819.6504 | 2019-05-02 | 26,307.7891 | 488.1387 | 1.89 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-04 | 17,006.7695 | 2016-05-02 | 17,891.1602 | 884.3907 | 5.20 |
| Avg | 30,852.4339 | 30,628.8686 | -223.57 | -0.32 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.04% | Feb Total -0.88% | Mar Total +0.04% | Apr Total +0.88% | May Total +0.43% | Jun Total +1.44% | Jul Total +2.92% | Aug Total +0.81% | Sep Total -0.98% | Oct Total +1.33% | Nov Total +4.41% | Dec Total +0.28% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.30% | +0.21% | -0.23% | -0.33% | +0.20% | +0.27% | -0.36% | +0.17% | +0.07% | +0.32% | -0.12% |
| 2 Avg +0.10% | +0.14% | -0.19% | +0.69% | -0.04% | +0.11% | +0.52% | +0.16% | -0.47% | +0.07% | -0.12% | +0.16% | +0.12% |
| 3 Avg -0.01% | -0.19% | +0.06% | -0.36% | -0.31% | +0.13% | +0.10% | +0.15% | +0.36% | -0.56% | +0.22% | +0.20% | +0.09% |
| 4 Avg +0.11% | +0.24% | +0.39% | +0.07% | -0.57% | +0.29% | +0.35% | 0.00% | +0.06% | +0.12% | +0.33% | +0.15% | -0.10% |
| 5 Avg +0.01% | -0.07% | -0.32% | -0.03% | +0.16% | -0.05% | +0.32% | -0.06% | -0.22% | -0.11% | +0.29% | +0.49% | -0.21% |
| 6 Avg +0.14% | +0.21% | +0.24% | -0.24% | +0.54% | -0.06% | +0.38% | +0.04% | +0.34% | -0.13% | -0.15% | +0.33% | +0.13% |
| 7 Avg 0.00% | -0.21% | -0.15% | -0.41% | -0.17% | +0.09% | +0.22% | -0.13% | +0.08% | +0.03% | -0.09% | +0.65% | +0.07% |
| 8 Avg +0.08% | +0.16% | -0.43% | -0.06% | +0.30% | +0.28% | +0.20% | +0.03% | +0.29% | -0.16% | -0.03% | +0.23% | +0.17% |
| 9 Avg +0.03% | +0.04% | +0.18% | -0.53% | +0.94% | -0.18% | -0.30% | +0.15% | -0.17% | +0.20% | +0.21% | +0.02% | -0.18% |
| 10 Avg +0.05% | -0.12% | +0.01% | +0.30% | -0.15% | +0.22% | -0.36% | +0.44% | +0.17% | -0.29% | -0.37% | +0.69% | +0.11% |
| 11 Avg -0.08% | +0.27% | -0.30% | -0.49% | -0.04% | -0.44% | -0.72% | +0.03% | +0.09% | +0.49% | -0.13% | +0.17% | +0.18% |
| 12 Avg +0.07% | +0.19% | +0.60% | -0.97% | +0.11% | -0.15% | +0.23% | +0.37% | +0.14% | +0.25% | +0.10% | -0.31% | +0.31% |
| 13 Avg +0.04% | -0.13% | +0.14% | +0.77% | +0.04% | -0.37% | -0.47% | -0.02% | +0.28% | -0.32% | +0.36% | 0.00% | +0.18% |
| 14 Avg +0.05% | +0.09% | +0.01% | +0.13% | +0.27% | +0.39% | -0.19% | +0.35% | -0.12% | +0.15% | +0.07% | -0.12% | -0.38% |
| 15 Avg +0.14% | -0.03% | +0.57% | +0.27% | -0.23% | +0.20% | +0.20% | +0.29% | +0.11% | +0.07% | +0.08% | +0.12% | +0.09% |
| 16 Avg +0.00% | +0.07% | -0.01% | -1.00% | +0.02% | +0.18% | -0.01% | +0.11% | +0.32% | -0.12% | +0.39% | +0.25% | -0.16% |
| 17 Avg +0.03% | +0.12% | +0.05% | +0.75% | +0.36% | -0.06% | -0.18% | +0.09% | -0.31% | -0.06% | +0.24% | -0.26% | -0.41% |
| 18 Avg -0.14% | -0.19% | -0.18% | -0.55% | +0.02% | +0.01% | -0.07% | -0.11% | -0.15% | +0.03% | -0.10% | -0.20% | -0.20% |
| 19 Avg -0.04% | -0.03% | +0.05% | +0.05% | +0.08% | -0.27% | -0.11% | -0.06% | 0.00% | +0.25% | -0.14% | -0.27% | -0.04% |
| 20 Avg -0.07% | -0.01% | -0.24% | -0.25% | -0.25% | +0.14% | +0.14% | +0.23% | +0.04% | -0.23% | +0.13% | -0.30% | -0.24% |
| 21 Avg -0.01% | +0.01% | -0.49% | +0.08% | -0.60% | +0.02% | +0.26% | +0.13% | +0.17% | -0.38% | +0.19% | +0.28% | +0.25% |
| 22 Avg +0.02% | +0.07% | +0.25% | -0.63% | +0.15% | -0.16% | +0.08% | +0.13% | -0.03% | +0.15% | -0.06% | +0.32% | -0.08% |
| 23 Avg -0.02% | +0.19% | -0.04% | -0.73% | +0.31% | -0.16% | +0.25% | +0.10% | -0.12% | -0.28% | -0.19% | +0.15% | +0.22% |
| 24 Avg +0.12% | +0.01% | -0.25% | +1.40% | +0.15% | +0.16% | -0.06% | -0.19% | +0.06% | -0.11% | +0.13% | +0.24% | -0.13% |
| 25 Avg +0.09% | +0.11% | -0.05% | +0.31% | -0.05% | +0.12% | -0.11% | +0.13% | +0.08% | +0.05% | +0.17% | +0.33% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.11% | +0.31% | -0.14% | +1.08% | -0.16% | +0.47% | -0.17% | +0.24% | -0.21% | -0.26% | -0.37% | +0.01% | +0.58% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | -0.43% | -0.63% | -0.44% | +0.35% | +0.64% | -0.12% | +0.10% | +0.21% | +0.08% | -0.14% | +0.03% | +0.20% |
| 28 Avg +0.07% | +0.35% | -0.31% | -0.03% | +0.10% | -0.25% | +0.06% | +0.03% | +0.20% | +0.30% | +0.13% | +0.27% | -0.07% |
| 29 Avg +0.08% | +0.03% | - | +0.45% | +0.10% | -0.33% | +0.45% | +0.14% | +0.30% | -0.30% | -0.08% | +0.12% | 0.00% |
| 30 Avg +0.04% | +0.02% | - | +0.39% | -0.33% | +0.03% | +0.37% | -0.18% | -0.10% | -0.06% | +0.24% | +0.31% | -0.23% |
| 31 Avg -0.11% | -0.17% | - | -0.19% | - | -0.26% | - | -0.03% | -0.24% | - | -0.04% | - | +0.12% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
